Oil prices surged to their highest level in weeks, while stocks plummeted on Monday as the Middle East crisis escalated. Houthi rebels from Yemen have entered the Iran war, sparking concerns that the conflict could spread to the Red Sea. Saudi Arabia has rerouted much of its oil exports to avoid the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 percent of crude and gas passes.
The news sent oil prices soaring, with Brent hitting close to $117 a barrel. Both main contracts jumped more than three percent at one point. Donald Trump's comments to the Financial Times that he wanted to "take the oil in Iran" and could take the country's Kharg Island "very easily" added to the dour mood. Kharg Island is a vital oil terminal for the country and is being eyed by the Pentagon for ground operations.
Pakistan has offered to broker talks between Washington and Tehran to end the war, but Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf says the United States is secretly planning a ground attack. The surge in oil prices and the prospect of an extended conflict have put pressure on equities, amid fears about a surge in inflation that could hit the world economy. Several major stock markets, including Tokyo and Seoul, sank sharply on Monday.
The Trump administration's reckless comments on Iran's oil reserves are a stark reminder of the economic risks of military intervention. With oil prices already at a five-year high, the prospect of an extended conflict in the Middle East could have devastating consequences for everyday Nigerians, who are already grappling with the impact of rising fuel prices. The losses on Wall Street and in Asian markets are a warning sign that the global economy is on shaky ground. The Houthis' ability to disrupt shipping through the Bab al-Mandab Strait is a new key risk, and any meaningful disruption could drive oil prices even higher, putting further pressure on risk assets. The time for empty rhetoric is over – it's time for concrete action to address the economic consequences of this crisis.