Gold prices held steady on Thursday as investors watched developments around a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Spot gold rose slightly by 0.1% to $4,721.51 per ounce by 0523 GMT. U.S. gold futures for June delivery dropped 0.7% to $4,744.90. Market attention also turned to upcoming U.S. inflation data, with the February Personal Consumption Expenditures report due at 1230 GMT and March consumer prices scheduled for release Friday. The Federal Reserve's March 17–18 meeting minutes revealed that more policymakers saw potential for further rate hikes to tackle inflation above the 2% target. Brian Lan, Managing Director at GoldSilver Central, said gold may trade between $4,607 and $4,860 in the near term, adding, "It doesn't seem like gold is looking to do much at this moment. I think there's still a lot of speculation on what's going to happen after the ceasefire." The precious metal has fallen over 10% since the Middle East conflict began on February 28, as rising oil prices and inflation concerns boosted demand for yielding assets. Silver dipped to $74.07 per ounce, platinum declined to $2,020.60, and palladium rose to $1,559.
The real story here isn't in the price of gold but in what it reflects: global markets are holding their breath over a ceasefire that barely survived its first week. Brian Lan's observation that gold isn't "looking to do much" underscores how traders are stuck in limbo, waiting for clarity from a region where one misstep could reignite war. That hesitation speaks volumes — even a temporary truce, like the one between the U.S. and Iran, carries the weight of volatility, not just for commodities but for the global economic rhythm.
Behind the numbers, Nigeria's own economic vulnerabilities come into sharper focus. With inflation still biting at household budgets and the naira sensitive to external shocks, Nigerian importers of gold and fuel are indirectly exposed to every tremor in Middle East geopolitics. The 10% drop in gold since February 28 mirrors a broader trend: when global risk rises, hard currency assets flow out of emerging markets, tightening pressure on local exchange rates and monetary policy.
Ordinary Nigerians, especially those in the informal gold trade or remittance-reliant households, feel this through higher costs and reduced liquidity. As oil prices remain elevated due to supply fears, Nigeria's fuel subsidy hangover becomes harder to manage, feeding into transport and food prices.
This episode fits a recurring pattern: Nigeria may not be on the frontlines of Middle East conflicts, but it is never insulated from their financial aftershocks.