The League of Northern Democrats convener, Umar Ardo, has made a bold prediction about the African Democratic Congress (ADC) presidential primary. According to Ardo, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar stands a strong chance of emerging victorious if he decides to contest the primary election. Ardo based his analysis on possible scenarios ahead of the party's primary election, which has yet to be officially outlined.
Ardo noted that discussions around a consensus candidate may arise within the party, but he believes that such an arrangement would require key contenders, including Peter Obi and Rotimi Amaechi, to step down. However, he described this scenario as unlikely, citing the strong support bases of the involved candidates. Ardo also expressed the view that Atiku's supporters might accept a consensus arrangement, but the former Vice President himself is unlikely to withdraw from the race.
Ardo's remarks came amid ongoing political realignments and speculation over potential alliances and candidacies ahead of future elections. He maintained that if all aspirants proceed to contest the primary election, Atiku stands a clear chance of clinching the party's ticket, regardless of whether the process is conducted through direct primaries or by delegates.
The prediction by Umar Ardo that Atiku Abubakar will win the ADC presidential primary if he contests raises questions about the party's internal dynamics and the willingness of its key contenders to step down. The League of Northern Democrats convener's assertion that a consensus candidate is unlikely to emerge suggests that the ADC may be heading towards a competitive primary election. This development has significant implications for the party's chances in future elections, particularly given the strong support bases of candidates like Peter Obi and Rotimi Amaechi. As the ADC navigates its internal politics, it remains to be seen how the party's stakeholders will respond to Ardo's prediction. The outcome of the primary election will likely have a significant impact on the party's fortunes in the 2023 general elections.
