Asian stocks declined sharply on Thursday (Jun 4) as fresh fighting between the US and Iran heightened investor anxiety, despite a renewed ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. MSCI's index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 1.5 per cent, with Japan's Nikkei 225 tumbling 1.9 per cent and South Korean shares opening 2.6 per cent lower after a market holiday. Wall Street had fallen overnight, the S&P 500 closing 0.7 per cent down, as oil prices initially rose around 2 per cent amid stalled diplomatic talks between Tehran and Washington. Westpac analysts noted that financial markets had shifted into a risk-off stance following the exchange of military strikes between American and Iranian forces.
Oil prices retreated during Thursday's trading, with Brent crude futures easing 1.3 per cent to US$96.59 a barrel, after Israel and Lebanon agreed to implement a ceasefire. The truce depends on a full halt of hostilities by the Iran-aligned Hezbollah militia and the withdrawal of its fighters from southern Lebanon's Litani region. Previous ceasefire efforts had failed to stop ongoing clashes. US S&P 500 e-mini futures were down 0.5 per cent, reflecting continued global market unease. Traders largely overlooked stronger-than-expected US ISM services sector data for May, which showed businesses increasing orders and stockpiling goods in anticipation of supply disruptions linked to the conflict in the Middle East. The rise in economic activity was attributed to preemptive measures taken amid fears of worsening war-related shortages and price increases.
The US and Iran resumed military strikes despite ongoing talks, showing a clear breakdown in diplomatic coordination even as markets reacted sharply to the escalation. Investors ignored positive US economic data, choosing instead to price in the risk of prolonged Middle East instability. Oil prices remain volatile, tied directly to battlefield developments rather than supply fundamentals. Any further flare-up could disrupt global energy flows, though no African or Nigerian-specific impacts were mentioned in the report.
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