The All Progressives Congress (APC) in Cross River State faces mounting internal pressure as political realignments and strategic defections signal a resurgence of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). With indications that the PDP may award Sandy Onor its presidential ticket in the state to boost his influence ahead of 2031, the opposition is positioning itself for long-term dominance. This move would not only energize the PDP ahead of the 2027 elections but also elevate Onor as a central figure in future political negotiations. Recent shifts, including Alex Egbona's movement from Abi/Yakurr and the realignments of John Upan Odey and Kjay Jeddy Agba in Cross River North, reflect a broader pattern of opposition consolidation. These developments suggest the PDP is no longer fragmented but actively reorganizing with clear intent. At the heart of APC's challenge is the unresolved issue of zoning, particularly in the Obubra/Etung Federal Constituency. Etung held the House of Representatives seat from 2003 to 2015, after which Obubra assumed it, with an understanding that power would rotate back in 2027. Despite this, some leaders in Obubra argue against returning the seat, citing Etung's prior 12-year hold—a claim described as intellectually weak and politically dishonest. Critics point to the unfulfilled 1999 agreement that saw John Okpa trade the federal ticket for the deputy governorship, questioning whether Obubra would now concede a position of equal value, such as deputy governor, if it retains the seat. The failure to honor rotational principles risks alienating Etung and weakening APC's unity. Governor Bassey Otu, as leader of the state party, bears the responsibility for resolving these tensions. The Central Senatorial District also presents complex political dynamics requiring urgent attention. Without immediate recalibration, APC risks ceding ground to a re-energized opposition.
The APC's resistance to rotating the Obubra/Etung federal seat to Etung in 2027 exposes a selective commitment to zoning that undermines its own unity principles. If Obubra blocks the rotation, it sets a precedent that could justify similar rejections across the state, including demands for deputy governorship concessions. Governor Otu's leadership will be measured not by control but by adherence to agreed political equity. Any delay benefits the PDP's reconsolidation.
Editorial note: AI-assisted opinion, not established fact. Full disclaimer →
