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World • 4h ago

Africa particularly vulnerable as Iran conflict disrupts supply chains, say experts

Africa particularly vulnerable as Iran conflict disrupts supply chains, say experts
"Africa on High Alert: Iran Conflict Threatens Food Security and Economy" As the conflict in the Middle East intensifies, African countries are bracing for a potential food and economic crisis. The war in Iran has brought global supply chains to a standstill, with vital shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz severely disrupted. This has a direct impact on African nations, where farmers rely heavily on imported fertilizers and a significant portion of household income goes towards food. African countries, including Nigeria, are among the most reliant on fertilizers imported through the Middle East. In fact, over 50% of Sudan's fertilizers arrive by sea from the region, while Somalia and Kenya receive around 30% and 26% respectively. The disruption of these supply chains is expected to lead to soaring fertiliser prices, which in turn will increase food costs and put pressure on living expenses, especially for the most vulnerable populations. The production of fertilizers in the Gulf region is fuelled by the abundance of cheap fossil gas and sulphur, essential components in the manufacture of nitrogen-based and phosphate fertilizers. With the war disrupting these trade routes, experts warn that African economies will be severely affected. Countries like Nigeria, where a significant portion of the population struggles to make ends meet, will be particularly vulnerable. The situation is further compounded by African economies' reliance on foreign markets, volatile commodity exports, high debt, and weak infrastructure. Governments across the continent are already struggling with budgetary pressures, making them even more susceptible to supply chain disruptions. According to Jervin Naidoo, a political analyst at Oxford Economics Africa, "Any disruptions, any shocks really affect all of us." XN Iraki, a professor of business and economics at the University of Nairobi, adds that the impact of higher oil prices will be felt across the continent. As the situation unfolds, African nations are left to navigate the uncertainty and potential consequences of the Iran conflict. With food security and economic stability at stake, it remains to be seen how these countries will mitigate the effects of this global crisis.
Source: Original Article • AI-enhanced version for clarity & Nigerian context

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